Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.290958 0.345418 0.411110 0.497401 0.609615 7.532894e-01 0.955729
2024-12-15 0.209553 0.272899 0.359949 0.493030 0.700637 1.030327e+00 1.637726
2024-12-22 0.162634 0.225330 0.319601 0.480740 0.771137 1.327280e+00 2.661806
2024-12-29 0.138442 0.201646 0.304024 0.496846 0.893972 1.812432e+00 4.797923
2025-01-05 0.117075 0.176539 0.278064 0.483415 0.952502 2.223367e+00 7.753712
2025-01-12 0.104075 0.162020 0.265937 0.491109 1.062280 2.900695e+00 14.471424
2025-01-19 0.092437 0.147476 0.250039 0.484903 1.135339 3.580791e+00 26.432953
2025-01-26 0.084960 0.138958 0.243614 0.497635 1.272261 4.772406e+00 63.177372
2025-02-02 0.079468 0.133122 0.241179 0.519199 1.456984 6.685027e+00 223.452531
2025-02-09 0.074244 0.126941 0.236647 0.533890 1.634680 9.234010e+00 1424.384561
2025-02-16 0.069962 0.121960 0.233702 0.552201 1.849920 1.325836e+01 340447.063950
2025-02-23 0.065750 0.116520 0.228637 0.562734 2.048121 1.874545e+01 NaN
2025-03-02 0.061721 0.111063 0.222843 0.570380 2.255337 2.714809e+01 NaN
2025-03-09 0.057660 0.105072 0.214777 0.568342 2.417859 3.819454e+01 NaN
2025-03-16 0.053550 0.098513 0.204235 0.554510 2.500602 5.026856e+01 NaN
2025-03-23 0.051291 0.095764 0.203008 0.574355 2.853836 9.108175e+01 NaN
2025-03-30 0.047885 0.090075 0.193128 0.558185 2.921578 1.243813e+02 NaN
2025-04-06 0.045735 0.087024 0.189897 0.567544 3.231941 2.381642e+02 NaN
2025-04-13 0.043224 0.082891 0.183070 0.560034 3.388507 4.033595e+02 NaN
2025-04-20 0.041652 0.080796 0.181652 0.575477 3.826409 1.203349e+03 NaN
2025-04-27 0.040487 0.079545 0.182463 0.601687 4.480738 9.741968e+03 NaN
2025-05-04 0.039163 0.077775 0.181473 0.619586 5.115269 3.426444e+06 NaN
2025-05-11 0.038023 0.076344 0.181293 0.641941 5.936261 NaN NaN